Where will cancer rank in South Africa’s disease burden by 2050?

Forecast share of total DALYs (years of healthy life lost) by cause group, 2050, reference scenario. Thin lines: 95% uncertainty interval.

Top 12 of 22 cause groups shown; the other 10 make up 19.2%. Cardiovascular disease and cancer overlap within their uncertainty intervals, so they cannot be ranked with confidence. DALYs combine early death and years lived in ill health: they are not shares of deaths.