DA edges ANC in pre-election polling, but no party can govern Nelson Mandela Bay alone

Predicted vote share (%), 2026 Nelson Mandela Bay local elections · eNCA/MarkData survey, n=994, fieldwork Aug–Sep 2026

0.3pp

DA's polling lead over ANC — inside the survey's margin of error

±3.11pp

Poll margin of error at 95% confidence

83.1%

Combined share of top three parties (DA, ANC, EFF)

The two frontrunners are statistically inseparable, yet even together they fall far short of an outright majority. Smaller parties, particularly the EFF and Patriotic Alliance, will be the kingmakers in whatever coalition is assembled after Wednesday's vote.