Forecast average yearly change in DALYs (years of healthy life lost) by cause group, South Africa, 1990–2050, reference scenario, %.
IHME does not say whether this is a change in DALY counts or rates, and supplies no uncertainty interval: check on the GBD Foresight site before quoting.
Daily Maverick · Source: IHME, GBD Foresight (built on the GBD 2019 round), accessed 01/10/2026